The sunniest region had the cheapest power — Japan, 22 Oct 2026

公開日:2026-10-23

On 22 October, the sunniest place in Japan was Shikoku. It also had the cheapest daytime wholesale power in the country, at 2.00 JPY/kWh. The national average fell 51.5% from the previous day to 15.78, widening the spread between regions to 13.8x.

15.78JPY/kWh
National daytime average (JEPX)
2.00JPY/kWh
Shikoku daytime average (lowest)
124
Shikoku irradiance index (7-day = 100)
Daytime (08:00–17:00) average wholesale price by areaTokyo27.65Chubu23.03Hokuriku23.03Kansai23.03Tohoku9.40Hokkaido6.58Chugoku6.48Kyushu6.48Shikoku2.00JPY/kWh
Daytime average (08:00–17:00, 30-minute slots) on 22 Oct. Red marks the cheapest area, Shikoku. 出所:JEPX day-ahead spot market

Price: regional gaps are revenue gaps

Daytime average by area: Tokyo 27.65, Chubu 23.03, Hokuriku 23.03, Kansai 23.03, Tohoku 9.40, Hokkaido 6.58, Chugoku 6.48, Kyushu 6.48, Shikoku 2.00.

High-voltage areas in eastern Japan cluster above 20 JPY while western regions sit mostly below 10. The same kilowatt-hour, sold from a different location, is worth more than ten times as much.

Time of day: prices recover at the edges

The daytime high was 36.76 JPY (around 17:30) and the low 8.34 JPY (around 12:30). Prices still fall when solar output peaks.

Last two weeks: irradiance index (bars) and daytime price (line)JPY/kWhirradiance index01020304005010015015.7810/910/1210/1510/1810/2110/22
National values over the past two weeks. Bars: irradiance index (right axis, 7-day average = 100). Line: daytime price, 08:00–17:00 (left axis). 出所:JEPX / Open-Meteo (irradiation)

Irradiance: the west leads

National average irradiation was 12.7 MJ/m². Against a seven-day baseline of 100, Shikoku led at 124 and Hokuriku trailed at 84.

The index is not generation. It captures weather only — no installed capacity, no inverter efficiency.

The sunniest region had the cheapest power. In Shikoku, an index of 124 and a price of 2.00 JPY describe the same place on the same day.

Why it matters

Revenue for a FIP plant is the market price plus the premium. In the hours when the market price collapses, the premium is nearly all of the income.

That makes regional price gaps into revenue gaps: identical equipment and identical output can earn very different amounts. Output data alone will not show you this.

Data and method

Prices are averages of 30-minute JEPX day-ahead slots between 08:00 and 17:00. The irradiance index compares Open-Meteo daily irradiation (MJ/m²) with the trailing seven-day average; it is an estimate, not metered generation.

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